Native Forest Logging (Victoria) and Auditable Legislation

This ABC article about allegedly illegal logging in Victorian native forests highlighted the surprising reliance on low-resolution diagrams to define and administer logging activities in State forests in Victoria. In this case, it is a State-government controlled organisation which is largely trusted to self-regulate its own economic activities.   The issues raised in the ABC article… Continue reading Native Forest Logging (Victoria) and Auditable Legislation

Prosecutor’s Fallacies and Relative Probabilities

In the United Kingdom some years ago a mother of two deceased children was convicted, in part, because evidence was given that the probability of her two children dying through natural means or cot death (her defence) was very low – as low as 1 in 73 million. The woman was Sally Clark, a solicitor… Continue reading Prosecutor’s Fallacies and Relative Probabilities